中小软件外包人力资本投资风险与控制策略研究

人力资本投资在服务外包总投资中占了最大比重,对软件外包企业来说更是如此.人力资本投资比重的增加给企业带来更大收益的同时也增加了企业的投资风险.目前,我国中小规模软件外包企业员工流动率高达20％,是社会平均流动率的两倍,形势严峻.本文力图突破传统的共性分析层面,从中小软件外包特性分析出发,探讨其人力资本投资风险的形成过程,并分别基于交易成本理论和期权理论提出控制人力资本投资风险的再外包和分阶段投资策略,为我国中小软件外包企业缓解高人力资本流失率,控制人力资本投资风险提供理论依据.     

基于数学期望的采购风险管理决策分析

风险决策中的期望值法是处理风险决策问题的常用方法。借助于期望值法,结合某企业的案例数据,对如何实现物流采购的最优化进行风险决策分析,并对最优方案进行了稳定性分析。     

基于主客观组合群决策的权重区间确定方法

提出了一种确定权重区间的方法,即将由多位专家确定的主观权重和用多种方法计算的客观权重相结合,形成权重区间,通过分析主客观权重区间的重合关系,计算权重区间的置信度和精确度,据此对权重区间进行循环优化。最后用算例表明了该方法的科学性和可操作性。     

我国财政专项转移支付决策过程分析--以多源流分析为视角

财政转移支付是1994年实行分税制以来平衡中央-地方以及区域间财力不均的制度，我国专项转移支付又始终占据着财政转移支付的重大比重。专项转移支付在确定资金转移地区，资金转移项目以及每个专项拨款多少的标准是如何确定的？这些都取决于专项转移支付的决策过程。文章通过多源流分析视角来探析我国财政专项转移支付的决策过程中存在的问题，了解我国财政专项转移支付的决策过程。     

基于个体差异的报童群体决策研究

通过实验研究群体决策和大五人格对报童订购的影响。研究表明大五人格中开放性维度能很好地预测个体和群体决策者的订购行为。在个体实验中，开放性越高的个体更不易产生锚定效应，其他四种人格特性与锚定偏差无显著关系；在群体实验中，群体的开放性得分均值、群体中高开放性成员所占的比例与锚定偏差呈负相关关系。通过比较两种实验结果，发现群体锚定倾向明显小于个体锚定倾向，而群体决策并没有优于个体决策。该研究结果对企业人员招聘、构建决策团队及降低决策偏差有一定参考价值。     

信息技术服务及其标准化的实践与探索

文章介绍了上海宝信软件股份有限公司（以下简称宝信软件）在信息技术服务及标准化的过程中所开展的工作,以及在应用软件（解决方案）、运维业务、服务外包等方面的一些探索,期待通过实践走出一条提升IT服务质量的新路。     

Professor Reva Berman Brown (1939–2007) – A Tribute

The purpose of this study is twofold: (1) to determine if an ethics presentation at an Italian university can change students' perceptions of ethics; and (2) to compare the results of this study with previously published results from US students. The ethics presentation, previously developed by Smith, Smith and Mulig (2005) Journal of Business Ethics, 61(2), pp. 153–164, for accounting and business classes, made available on the Internet, was adapted and used in classes in Italy. As in the USA, Italy has faced significant financial scandals and corporate failures in recent years. Both Italian and US penal laws have been changed to prevent future financial frauds, but there are limits to what laws can accomplish. The ethics presentation described in this Teaching Note was an effort to encourage students to consider the importance of ethics. The impact of the presentation on Italian students' perspectives is described. In addition, a comparison is made of the impact of the presentation in Italy and in the USA, which shows that students in both countries regard ethics as a very important topic.     

如何运用现代非线性数学方法研究公共交通车辆调度决策系统

时代在进步,经济在腾飞,交通作为经济的命脉,无可质疑的也产生了翻天覆地的变化与发展,但是就目前来看,我国的交通系统由于人口的基数和居民的私家车的增多,交通的压力日趋增大,如何改善这种状况,是本文旨在研究跟探讨的关键所在,本文主要介绍了非线性代数的数学方式来分析和调度交通的车辆,并由此提出了一套利用智能化指导居民出行的优化方案,从而缓解交通压力,提高决策能力,另外,还介绍了一种运用于调度车辆的遗传算法,便于决策者进行参考和配置。     

中小证券公司后台业务外包分析

随着证券市场的发展,各中小证券公司后台日益庞大,后台系统投入大幅增长,但业务范围和营销能力并未随之大幅增加,导致后台出现产能过剩,产生大马拉小车和IT黑洞等现象。由于成本原因,目前许多中小证券公司管理层对新系统的投入和团队建设处于彷徨境地。本文提出通过将后台业务外包,来解决中小证券公司后台成本居高不下的问题。     

Reflections on the ontological status of risk

In this article we discuss the concept of risk in an ontological perspective. Risk per se is not a self-explaining concept that ‘exists’ by its own virtue. Our discussion is therefore based on existing methodologies and epistemological claims concerning risk. With these claims as our point of departure, we examine risk in relation to the concept of time, state of affairs (the state of the world) and events and discuss relations and constitutional issues for the risk concept. Drawing on a relation between time and state of affairs, we argue that risk is rooted in the transition from the future to the present. Risk is being constituted by the transition from a myriad of future possibilities into one present reality (one actual contingent world). This implies that risk is not ontologically something of the future, but rather something of the present. However, we argue that risk does not exist in any ontological sense. What actually exist are possible (future) states of affairs and these may or may not be interpreted to hold risk. An implication of this is that all risk claims are subjective.